Executive Summary
Tensions between the US and Iran have reached a critical juncture as President Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran "officially over" and warned that 1,000 missiles are "locked and loaded" aimed at Tehran following intelligence of an Iranian plot to assassinate him. The US has issued a Saturday deadline demanding Iran publicly declare the Strait of Hormuz open and cease attacks on commercial shipping, warning of "serious consequences" if Tehran refuses. Meanwhile, diplomacy continues in Muscat, Oman, with Qatari, Pakistani, and Omani officials mediating a transit framework, while Mojtaba Khamenei vowed revenge for the assassination of his father, the former Iranian supreme leader. In the Levant, the IDF conducted a strike in southern Lebanon, and Israeli operations to dismantle Hamas in Gaza continue.
Key Events
- President Trump declares the ceasefire with Iran "officially over" and threatens 1,000 missiles if Iran attempts to assassinate him. → link → link
- The US demands Iran publicly declare the Strait of Hormuz open to commercial shipping by Saturday or face "serious consequences" following violations of the memorandum of understanding. → link → link
- Multilateral talks in Muscat, Oman, seek a transit framework for the Strait of Hormuz with delegations from Iran, Qatar, and Pakistan. → link → link
- Mojtaba Khamenei vows revenge for the assassination of his father, former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. → link
- Israeli intelligence warns the US of a fresh Iranian plot to assassinate President Trump, despite US intel assessing only a "steady drumbeat of chatter." → link → link
- The IDF strikes the village of Al-Mansouri in southern Lebanon, resulting in reported casualties. → link
- The Trump administration believes a nuclear deal with Iran is growing increasingly unlikely. → link
Analysis
The US-Iran standoff is shifting from a tense ceasefire to renewed open hostility, driven by alleged assassination plots and ongoing maritime disruptions. The US administration is applying maximum pressure, issuing a firm Saturday deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz, backed by direct threats from President Trump of massive missile strikes. Oman's mediating role and a planned four-way call involving the US, Pakistan, Qatar, and Iran indicate a narrow window for de-escalation. However, the death of Ayatollah Khamenei and his son's vow of revenge add a volatile, destabilizing element to Iran's domestic and foreign posture. On the northern front, sporadic IDF strikes in Lebanon and ongoing operations in Gaza demonstrate that the broader regional conflict remains active. Watch for Iran's official response on Saturday regarding the Hormuz deadline and any retaliatory actions following Khamenei's funeral proceedings.
Tweet Feed
Iran-US Ceasefire & Nuclear Deal
@HananyaNaftali · 2026-07-11T13:00
The ceasefire with Iran is officially over. President Trump declared the deal dead, warning he left instructions to bomb the regime "at levels they've never seen" if they try to kill him. Strength is the only language the Ayatollahs understand. The free world must stop appeasing Iran and start holding them accountable. → tweet link
@TreyYingst · 2026-07-11T03:33
NEW: President Trump says 1000 missiles are locked and loaded, and aimed at Iran, should the Iranian government try to assassinate him. “1000 Missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands of more to immediately follow..." → tweet link
@Faytuks · 2026-07-11T03:22
Trump says "1000 missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed" at Iran and says the U.S. is capable of destroying all areas of the country → tweet link
@FaytuksNetwork · 2026-07-11T06:44
The Trump administration believes that a nuclear deal with Iran is growing increasingly unlikely, senior U.S. officials told reporters on Friday, according to WSJ. → tweet link
@FaytuksNetwork · 2026-07-11T06:48
Iran recently communicated to the U.S. that it was a mistake to shoot at commercial ships and that both sides should continue negotiations, a US official told WSJ. → tweet link
@HananyaNaftali · 2026-07-11T11:00
🇮🇱🇺🇸 Israel just proved again why it is America’s most vital ally. Israeli intelligence uncovered a fresh Iranian plot to assassinate Donald Trump and immediately warned the U.S. While the world debates the Middle East, Iran is actively plotting to kill American leaders. → tweet link
@ELINTNews · 2026-07-10T23:33
RT @ZcohenCNN: New: Israeli intelligence that was shared with the US reflected a desire among elements of Iran's hardline leadership to ass… → tweet link
@ELINTNews · 2026-07-10T23:33
RT @ZcohenCNN: Recent US intel assessments show no indication of a new, specific plot to kill Trump but rather a steady drumbeat of chatter… → tweet link
Strait of Hormuz & Regional Diplomacy
@lookner · 2026-07-10T23:08
RT @BarakRavid: 🇺🇸🇮🇷🚢U.S. gives Iran Saturday deadline to publicly renounce Hormuz attacks and announce that the strait is open, U.S. offic… → tweet link
@FaytuksNetwork · 2026-07-10T21:28
The U.S. has demanded that Iran publicly declare the Strait of Hormuz open and commit to halting attacks on commercial vessels, according to three U.S. officials briefing reporters. Washington expects a statement after Saturday’s Iran–Oman talks, warning of “serious consequences” if Tehran refuses. One official said: “If that’s not their position tomorrow, it won’t be a good day for them.” → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-10T21:27
Axios' @BarakRavid reports that the Trump administration is demanding that Iran publicly declare the Strait of Hormuz open to commercial shipping and commit to ending attacks on merchant vessels by tomorrow, according to Axios, citing U.S. officials... → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-11T14:58
Eyes are on Muscat, Oman today, as Iranian, Qatari, and possibly Pakistani decision-makers descend on the Gulf nation for discussions surrounding a transit framework for the Strait of Hormuz... → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-11T13:57
RT @BashaReport: Flights carrying Qatari and Iranian delegations arrived in Muscat early today, adding to signs that Oman remains at the ce… → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-11T12:37
According to the New York Times, citing U.S. officials, Iran is expected to make a public statement in the coming days announcing free passage for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Per the officials, if such a statement, followed by commensurate action, is not made, “we’re not going to have a good outcome for them,” signaling renewed and expanded U.S. strikes on Iran. → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-10T20:21
According to sources speaking to Al Arabiya, the U.S., Pakistan, Qatar, and Iran are set to hold a four-way call soon. This comes as U.S. President Donald J. Trump has said that Iran would like to return to talks despite, according to the same statement from the president, the ceasefire not being in effect. → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-11T01:05
Commercial shipping visible via https://t.co/Y4QTdcQsH7 shows traffic transiting the Strait of Hormuz has slowed to a trickle over the past 24 hours, with just five merchant vessels completing the transit-all via the Iranian (northern) traffic separation scheme... → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-10T23:27
U.S. President Donald J. Trump spoke with his Saudi counterpart, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, today, amidst the most recent spate of increased U.S.-Iran tensions. The call was centered on recent regional developments, specifically freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz... → tweet link
@TheIntelFrog · 2026-07-11T15:37
Like the original traffic separation scheme in place before Iran gained control over the Strait of Hormuz? → tweet link
Khamenei Assassination & Iranian Politics
@FaytuksNetwork · 2026-07-11T12:10
Mojtaba Khamenei, in a written statement marking the end of the funeral ceremonies for his assassinated father, Ali Khamenei, vows revenge: “Revenge for Iran’s martyred leader is the will of our people, and it must certainly be carried out. These criminals, all of whom are fully identified, from the most senior to the most junior, will take to their graves the dream of dying peacefully in their beds.” → tweet link
@WarMonitors · 2026-07-11T18:44
⚡️Grave of the former Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei. → tweet link
@lookner · 2026-07-11T06:25
Iran state media Mehr says of the explosion heard in Pakdasht: "investigations by a Mehr News Agency reporter suggest the possibility of a controlled explosion in the area." → tweet link
Israel, Gaza, and Lebanon
@FaytuksNetwork · 2026-07-11T12:46
The IDF carried out a strike a short time ago in the village of Al-Mansouri in southern Lebanon, outside the Israeli security zone, on Lebanon’s Mediterranean coast, there are reports of casualties. → tweet link
@sentdefender · 2026-07-11T16:20
U.S. officials met with their Lebanese counterparts today in an effort to negotiate the withdrawal of Israeli forces from a pilot zone, as agreed in the Iran-U.S. MOU. As Iranian, Pakistani, Qatari, and Omani officials meet in Muscat, Oman on the Strait of Hormuz, such a meeting, surrounding Israel’s withdrawal from areas in Southern Lebanon, is key... → tweet link
@HananyaNaftali · 2026-07-10T19:00
The dismantling of Hamas continues. Every tunnel destroyed is a step closer to ensuring that October 7th can never happen again. → tweet link
@HananyaNaftali · 2026-07-11T07:00
Former hostage Yarden Bibas joined U.S. Ambassador Mike Huckabee to plant trees in memory of his wife, Shiri, and their two young sons, Ariel and Kfir, who were murdered while held captive by Hamas. May their memory be a blessing... → tweet link
US Military Operations (Operation EPIC FURY)
@sentdefender · 2026-07-10T21:08
Newsmax reports that the USS Boxer and its embarked 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) were temporarily sidelined during the opening weeks of the conflict with Iran after an engine cooling system failure forced the amphibious assault ship to divert to Diego Garcia for repairs... → tweet link
@TheIntelFrog · 2026-07-10T23:05
The DoD's publicly released casualty totals for Operation EPIC FURY have been updated several times over the past three weeks... While medical evacuations alone do not indicate changes in casualty totals, the continuation of flights meeting large medical transport vehicles who then return to Walter Reed with emergency lights activated indicates that the reported numbers may be an under count. → tweet link
@TheIntelFrog · 2026-07-10T22:54
U.S. Air Force C-17A Globemaster III #AE1179 as RCH828 has completed the 49th medical evacuation mission since the start of Operation EPIC FURY, and the 17th to cycle through Joint Base Andrews. → tweet link